UMass Lowell
W-L: (13-24) PR = 97.1984Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 H Merrimack (21-15, 98.0) 4- 0 1010 A Merrimack (21-15, 98.0) 1- 4 1017 H Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 1- 2 1018 H Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 0- 6 1024 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 4- 0 1025 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 4- 3 1031 A Providence (22-10, 99.2) 2- 5 1101 H Providence (22-10, 99.2) 5- 1 1107 H New Hamp (14-22, 96.7) 0- 2 1108 A New Hamp (14-22, 96.7) 6- 1 1114 A Union (22-14, 98.0) 1- 7 1115 A RPI (11-23, 96.5) 0- 2 1128 A Clarkson (18-18, 97.5) 0- 2 1129 H St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.5) 7- 3 1205 H Boston Col (21-14, 98.6) 1- 3 1206 A Boston Col (21-14, 98.6) 1- 3 1210 A Maine (18-14, 98.5) 4- 5 102 H Minn St (21-10, 98.2) 3- 1 103 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 2- 3 109 A Connecticut (19-11, 98.6) 5- 3 110 H Connecticut (19-11, 98.6) 1- 5 116 A Boston Univ (18-17, 97.8) 4- 3 117 H Boston Univ (18-17, 97.8) 0- 3 123 H Maine (18-14, 98.5) 0- 2 124 H Maine (18-14, 98.5) 5- 6 201 A UMass (22-12, 98.4) 4- 6 206 H UMass (22-12, 98.4) 3- 1 207 A UMass (22-12, 98.4) 2- 5 213 A Vermont (13-23, 96.5) 4- 2 214 A Vermont (13-23, 96.5) 5- 2 220 H Northeastern (19-18, 98.1) 0- 2 221 H Northeastern (19-18, 98.1) 2- 8 305 A Merrimack (21-15, 98.0) 3- 5 307 H Boston Univ (18-17, 97.8) 4- 3 311 A Merrimack (21-15, 98.0) 3- 5 311 A Merrimack (21-15, 98.0) 3- 5 311 A Merrimack (21-15, 98.0) 3- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 H Merrimack 4- 0 4 0 ++ 4.45
1010 A Merrimack 1- 4 -3 -1 -1.82
1017 H Western Mich 1- 2 -1 -2 1.18
1018 H Western Mich 0- 6 -6 -2 - -3.82
1024 A Mercyhurst 4- 0 4 1 + 2.68
1025 A Mercyhurst 4- 3 1 1 -0.32
1031 A Providence 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.68
1101 H Providence 5- 1 4 -2 ++ 5.59
1107 H New Hamp 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.89
1108 A New Hamp 6- 1 5 0 ++ 4.84
1114 A Union 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -4.83
1115 A RPI 0- 2 -2 0 - -2.37
1128 A Clarkson 0- 2 -2 -1 -1.38
1129 H St Lawrence 7- 3 4 2 1.89
1205 H Boston Col 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.95
1206 A Boston Col 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.22
1210 A Maine 4- 5 -1 -2 0.71
102 H Minn St 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.60
103 H St Cloud St 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.26
109 A Connecticut 5- 3 2 -2 + 3.79
110 H Connecticut 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.94
116 A Boston Univ 4- 3 1 -1 1.98
117 H Boston Univ 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.75
123 H Maine 0- 2 -2 -1 -1.02
124 H Maine 5- 6 -1 -1 -0.02
201 A UMass 4- 6 -2 -2 -0.40
206 H UMass 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.87
207 A UMass 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.40
213 A Vermont 4- 2 2 0 1.70
214 A Vermont 5- 2 3 0 + 2.70
220 H Northeastern 0- 2 -2 -1 -1.45
221 H Northeastern 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -5.45
305 A Merrimack 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.82
307 H Boston Univ 4- 3 1 0 1.25
311 A Merrimack 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.82
311 A Merrimack 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.82
311 A Merrimack 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.82
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1114 A Union 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -4.83 221 H Northeastern 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -5.45 1018 H Western Mich 0- 6 -6 -2 - -3.82 1107 H New Hamp 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.89 1115 A RPI 0- 2 -2 0 - -2.37 110 H Connecticut 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.94 117 H Boston Univ 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.75 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1003 H Merrimack 4- 0 4 0 ++ 4.45 1101 H Providence 5- 1 4 -2 ++ 5.59 1108 A New Hamp 6- 1 5 0 ++ 4.84 1024 A Mercyhurst 4- 0 4 1 + 2.68 102 H Minn St 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.60 109 A Connecticut 5- 3 2 -2 + 3.79 206 H UMass 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.87 214 A Vermont 5- 2 3 0 + 2.70 |
UMass Lowell Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Air Force | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Air Force | |
| Army | Army | Army 3- 0 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Bentley | Bentley | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Bentley | |
| Canisius | UMass Lowell | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | UMass Lowell | |
| Holy Cross | UMass Lowell | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | UMass Lowell | |
| Mercyhurst | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Niagara | UMass Lowell | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | UMass Lowell | |
| RIT | UMass Lowell | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | UMass Lowell | |
| Rob Morris | UMass Lowell | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UMass Lowell | |
| Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Sacred Heart | |
| Michigan | Michigan | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Michigan St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Minnesota | Minnesota | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Minnesota | |
| Notre Dame | UMass Lowell | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) | UMass Lowell | |
| Ohio State | Ohio State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ohio State | |
| Penn State | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Wisconsin | |
| Augustana | Augustana | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Augustana | |
| Bemidji St | UMass Lowell | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | UMass Lowell | |
| Bowl Green | Bowl Green | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Bowl Green | |
| Ferris St | UMass Lowell | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | UMass Lowell | |
| L Superor | UMass Lowell | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 1) | UMass Lowell | |
| Mich Tech | Mich Tech | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Mich Tech | |
| Minn St | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| No Mich | UMass Lowell | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | UMass Lowell | |
| St. Thomas | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| Alaska | Alaska | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) | Alaska | |
| Alaska Anch | UMass Lowell | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UMass Lowell | |
| Lindenwood | UMass Lowell | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UMass Lowell | |
| LIU | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell 3- 2 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Stonehill | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell 3- 2 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Brown | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell 3- 5 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Clarkson | Clarkson | Clarkson | ||
| Colgate | Colgate | Colgate 4- 2 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell 3- 3 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 4- 1) | Dartmouth | |
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard 5- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac 6- 2 vs 4- 7 | ||
| RPI | RPI | RPI | ||
| St Lawrence | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Union | Union | Union | ||
| Yale | UMass Lowell | insuffient: ( 4- 5)( 3- 5) | UMass Lowell | |
| Boston Col | Boston Col | Boston Col | ||
| Boston Univ | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Connecticut | Connecticut | insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 4- 1) | Connecticut | |
| Maine | Maine | Maine | ||
| UMass | UMass | UMass | ||
| Merrimack | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| New Hamp | UMass Lowell | tied - ( 3- 6) ( 3- 4) | UMass Lowell | |
| Northeastern | Northeastern | Northeastern | ||
| Providence | Providence | insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 4- 1) | Providence | |
| Vermont | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Arizona St | Arizona St | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 0) | Arizona St | |
| Colorado Col | Colorado Col | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 0) | Colorado Col | |
| Denver | Denver | Denver 3- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| North Dakota | North Dakota | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 1) | North Dakota | |
| Omaha | Omaha | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Omaha | |
| St Cloud St | St Cloud St | St Cloud St | ||
| Western Mich | Western Mich | Western Mich |
PowerWise = 22
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 35.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Merrimack (21-15, 98.0) 4- 0 -1.89 2.56 -0.36 0.97 4.26
0 A Merrimack (21-15, 98.0) 1- 4 -1.89 2.56 0.36 0.97 -0.74
0 H Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 1- 2 -0.16 4.29 -0.36 0.97 -0.25
0 H Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 0- 6 -0.16 4.29 -0.36 0.97 -0.25
0 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 4- 0 -4.38 1.00 0.36 0.97 2.65
0 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 4- 3 -4.38 1.00 0.36 0.97 2.65
0 A Providence (22-10, 99.2) 2- 5 -0.74 3.71 0.36 0.97 -0.18
0 H Providence (22-10, 99.2) 5- 1 -0.74 3.71 -0.36 0.97 6.49
0 H New Hamp (14-22, 96.7) 0- 2 -3.22 1.23 -0.36 0.97 -1.74
0 A New Hamp (14-22, 96.7) 6- 1 -3.22 1.23 0.36 0.97 3.09
0 A Union (22-14, 98.0) 1- 7 -1.89 2.56 0.36 0.97 -0.74
0 A RPI (11-23, 96.5) 0- 2 -3.43 1.02 0.36 0.97 -1.49
0 A Clarkson (18-18, 97.5) 0- 2 -2.44 2.00 0.36 0.97 -1.01
0 H St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.5) 7- 3 -4.45 1.00 -0.36 0.97 1.23
0 H Boston Col (21-14, 98.6) 1- 3 -1.29 3.16 -0.36 0.97 -0.80
0 A Boston Col (21-14, 98.6) 1- 3 -1.29 3.16 0.36 0.97 -0.45
0 A Maine (18-14, 98.5) 4- 5 -1.36 3.09 0.36 0.97 -0.48
0 H Minn St (21-10, 98.2) 3- 1 -1.74 2.71 -0.36 0.97 4.56
0 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 2- 3 -1.59 2.86 -0.36 0.97 -0.95
0 A Connecticut (19-11, 98.6) 5- 3 -1.28 3.17 0.36 0.97 6.87
0 H Connecticut (19-11, 98.6) 1- 5 -1.28 3.17 -0.36 0.97 -0.80
0 A Boston Univ (18-17, 97.8) 4- 3 -2.09 2.36 0.36 0.97 5.30
0 H Boston Univ (18-17, 97.8) 0- 3 -2.09 2.36 -0.36 0.97 -1.19
0 H Maine (18-14, 98.5) 0- 2 -1.36 3.09 -0.36 0.97 -0.84
0 H Maine (18-14, 98.5) 5- 6 -1.36 3.09 -0.36 0.97 -0.84
0 A UMass (22-12, 98.4) 4- 6 -1.46 2.99 0.36 0.97 -0.53
0 H UMass (22-12, 98.4) 3- 1 -1.46 2.99 -0.36 0.97 5.09
0 A UMass (22-12, 98.4) 2- 5 -1.46 2.99 0.36 0.97 -0.53
0 A Vermont (13-23, 96.5) 4- 2 -3.36 1.09 0.36 0.97 2.82
0 A Vermont (13-23, 96.5) 5- 2 -3.36 1.09 0.36 0.97 2.82
0 H Northeastern (19-18, 98.1) 0- 2 -1.78 2.67 -0.36 0.97 -1.04
0 H Northeastern (19-18, 98.1) 2- 8 -1.78 2.67 -0.36 0.97 -1.04
0 A Merrimack (21-15, 98.0) 3- 5 -1.89 2.56 0.36 0.97 -0.74
0 H Boston Univ (18-17, 97.8) 4- 3 -2.09 2.36 -0.36 0.97 3.88
0 A Merrimack (21-15, 98.0) 3- 5 -1.89 2.56 0.36 0.97 -0.74
0 A Merrimack (21-15, 98.0) 3- 5 -1.89 2.56 0.36 0.97 -0.74
0 A Merrimack (21-15, 98.0) 3- 5 -1.89 2.56 0.36 0.97 -0.74
------
32.85
|
winning pts = 51.7245 losing points = -18.8778
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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